Game Result Predictions
Thursday, February 7

The R1 Prediction calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Dave Aaron Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
SIUE
(12-16, Road 6-11)
65 60 +8.0 24% 128 62 +4.0 18%
Austin Peay
(13-15, Home 9-4)
76 68 -8.0 76% Actual:
141 (13)
66 -4.0 82%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
McBrayer Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Belmont
(26-7, Road 12-4)
87 78 -28.0 98% 128 83 -39.0 100%
Eastern Kentucky
(0-27, Home 0-11)
52 50 +28.0 2% Actual:
139 (11)
44 +39.0 0%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Ellis T. Johnson Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Tennessee State
(5-25, Road 2-15)
55 58 +25.0 3% 141 57 +26.0 0%
Morehead State
(22-11, Home 11-3)
71 83 -25.0 97% Actual:
126 (-15)
83 -26.0 100%

Final/1OT R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
CFSB Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Eastern Illinois
(8-18, Road 1-13)
51 65 +6.0 30% 136 61 +13.0 1%
Murray State
(11-17, Home 8-5)
60 71 -6.0 70% Actual:
111 (-25)
74 -13.0 99%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Show Me Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Tennessee Tech
(20-11, Road 9-6)
53 66 -2.0 58% 130 67 -5.5 87%
Southeast Missouri
(11-17, Home 6-5)
62 64 +2.0 42% Actual:
115 (-15)
62 +5.5 13%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Skyhawk Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Jacksonville State
(14-15, Road 8-6)
71 61 +11.0 18% 133 57 +16.5 0%
Tennessee-Martin
(21-9, Home 12-1)
79 72 -11.0 82% Actual:
150 (17)
74 -16.5 100%